|
Post by Bobby Barratt on Aug 16, 2019 2:05:11 GMT -5
Well the fact the game is still running shows that we are definitely not on 3 scum.
|
|
|
Post by Nausicaä Suzuki on Aug 16, 2019 3:46:06 GMT -5
“Everyday that distant horizon continues to beckon me over and whether it’s for better or for worse is something I’m unsure of...
For while I’m just a Friendly Neighbor who can spend each night revealing that I am Town to one person...two of the three people I’ve told, DT and Kuroi, have been found dead while I fear Steele, the second person I told, may get targeted next.
However it seems odd that Kuroi died the night after he called Dylan suspicious and was practically the only one to have 'mega scum reads' from him...that itself is quite suspicious itself.
Suspicious enough for me to vote: Dylan.”
|
|
|
Post by Bobby Barratt on Aug 16, 2019 3:55:30 GMT -5
“Everyday that distant horizon continues to beckon me over and whether it’s for better or for worse is something I’m unsure of... For while I’m just a Friendly Neighbor who can spend each night revealing that I am Town to one person...two of the three people I’ve told, DT and Kuroi, have been found dead while I fear Steele, the second person I told, may get targeted next. However it seems odd that Kuroi died the night after he called Dylan suspicious and was practically the only one to have 'mega scum reads' from him...that itself is quite suspicious itself. Suspicious enough for me to vote: Dylan.” You know I came into this day sure I was going to put Steele on blast. But that's a solid view on the game there. Dylan has been flying under the radar big time lately. Not sure I'll vote him right now because if theres 2 scum in the game, they can jump on a lolhammer if someones sitting at 2 votes since it takes 4 to lynch. But consider my theoretical vote on Dylan for now.
|
|
Steele
Graphics Wizards
2017 EoD Winner | 2x AWF Champion | 2x TGK Champion | 1 x XHF Phoenix Champion | AWF Hall of Famer
Posts: 3,375
|
Post by Steele on Aug 16, 2019 6:35:22 GMT -5
Oof. Was expecting Nausicaa to be targeted over Kuroi, but was fully expecting it to be one out of me, Nausicaa and Kuroi.
Smart, because Mafia didn’t eliminate one of the unknown (to the rest of us) townies. So we are still in the situation where it’s out of Bobby, Caffrey, Dylan and Swann.
At least we know there are only 2 Mafia members now. Not sure whether it’s possible to have some third party player too but there has only ever been one kill per night so unless a second kill has been blocked every time somehow I’m gonna say with quite high confidence that we’re at 4 town, 2 Mafia.
I know that out of the 4 players that aren’t me or Nausicaa, 2 of them are Mafia. Who the fuck they actually are though is eluding me.
Last time round I felt like Caff was strongly town, Bobby was likely town, Dylan was possibly town and Swann was probably scum. But I was confident about Dread and I was wrong on that count.
If Kuroi was getting mega scum reads from Dylan like Nausicaa says, then I’m inclined to lean that way too. Bobby makes a good point about the lolhammer (TIL a new word) so I’m gonna be cautious too, just until we can maybe hear from the Americans. No good if us three brits come in and fuck it all up just because they’re “being quiet” when in actual fact they’ve been asleep lol. Consider the finger of suspicion on Dylan right now.
|
|
|
Post by Bobby Barratt on Aug 16, 2019 7:17:44 GMT -5
Well that and based on 2 scum (was it occams razor that says the simplest explanation is most likely and the 3rd faction is a bit of a stretch.) I'm pretty sure we are in a lylo situation (I wont lie I get mylo/lylo mixed up, but if we dont catch scum today we lose) so allowing the americans to come and pass their views on is a must.
|
|
Steele
Graphics Wizards
2017 EoD Winner | 2x AWF Champion | 2x TGK Champion | 1 x XHF Phoenix Champion | AWF Hall of Famer
Posts: 3,375
|
Post by Steele on Aug 16, 2019 7:45:59 GMT -5
Yeah mylo and lylo are very similar, we are currently in mylo. 4T/2M means we can no-lynch today and then lose a townie overnight, and still start tomorrow with a numerical town advantage, although in a lylo state. Lylo is when town only has a one-man advantage so no-lynch isn’t an option because Mafia will just take out a townie overnight and draw equal in numbers, thus winning.
Lylo = lynch or lose/ lynch right or lose Mylo = mislynch and lose
So yeah. We need to get it right, or vote no-lynch. As much as I don’t like to no-lynch, I’d be open to it if it means we can try and narrow down our Mafia options overnight.
There is a possibility we might not actually be fully in mylo or lylo at any point, depending whether there are still any protective roles or modifiers that can actually negate a nightkill.
|
|
|
Post by anthonycaffrey on Aug 16, 2019 8:31:00 GMT -5
We're not no lynching.
If the mafia wants the win, they'll have to take it from our cold, dead hands.
|
|
The King
.::XHF Superstar::.
| 1x FWA Professional Wrestling Champion | | 3x DW World Champion | |1x XHF European Champion|
Posts: 987
|
Post by The King on Aug 16, 2019 8:49:11 GMT -5
so wee warste a noight in wich we coulrd kill mafia and potentiallee win?
i dont like that
i also jefe
|
|
Steele
Graphics Wizards
2017 EoD Winner | 2x AWF Champion | 2x TGK Champion | 1 x XHF Phoenix Champion | AWF Hall of Famer
Posts: 3,375
|
Post by Steele on Aug 16, 2019 10:25:27 GMT -5
I don’t WANT to no-lynch, but I’d rather do that than lynch another townie. If we NL, then the worst that can happen by the end of the night is that we start up again in lylo, with a *marginally* better chance of finding scum than we have now. If we lynch wrong today, Mafia win.
That said, No Lynch should ONLY be a last-resort move in order to avoid losing during night 4 by mislynching today, as it will be difficult to make it through the *next* night without scum winning. There are possibly roles yet to be used on town-side which could give us an edge but obviously we shouldn’t just rely on chance.
|
|
|
Post by Dylan on Aug 16, 2019 14:08:06 GMT -5
VOTE: Jefe
My reads are Bobby and Swann. Swann has flown under our radar by playing Jefe, being illiterate and sweet and innocent. But innocent he is not. And Swann is inexperienced at Mafia. He needs a pro to help him play, and who better to play than the evil, caniving Bobby. Trust me, I know my partners of AXW. They're absolutely Mafia.
VOTE: SWANN
|
|
|
Post by Dylan on Aug 16, 2019 14:09:17 GMT -5
Oops, double voted. Just shows my confidence in my picks I guess
|
|
|
Post by anthonycaffrey on Aug 16, 2019 16:01:54 GMT -5
I feel this, why not:
VOTE SWANN
|
|
The King
.::XHF Superstar::.
| 1x FWA Professional Wrestling Champion | | 3x DW World Champion | |1x XHF European Champion|
Posts: 987
|
Post by The King on Aug 16, 2019 17:46:35 GMT -5
WOah Jefe good guy u target jefe cause Jefe easy target u know that if u kill mi then that’s an easy town gone and in the night u can kill off one of the more experienced players rip jefe but also not rip jefe because why rip jefe y would I be so confident as jefe if I were bad jefe? I don’t get it
|
|
Steele
Graphics Wizards
2017 EoD Winner | 2x AWF Champion | 2x TGK Champion | 1 x XHF Phoenix Champion | AWF Hall of Famer
Posts: 3,375
|
Post by Steele on Aug 16, 2019 17:52:49 GMT -5
Swann’s insistence on playing as Jefe has definitely raised my suspicions.
I still think it’s most likely to be him and Dylan, but I’m not writing off Bobby or Caffrey completely. It’s entirely possible that Caffrey is deliberately staying out of this game having pushed the narrative over the last two or three games that he isn’t as interested when he’s a townie. It’s entirely possible that Bobby is being overtly cautious with his vote in order to look like he has town’s interests at heart.
I’d say Bobby has dropped to lowest suspicion level for me though, I’m beginning to wonder more about Caffrey. His vote seems a little rushed at such a critical stage of the game. I get it, Swann looks super scummy and Caffrey won’t willing no-lynch but still...
|
|
|
Post by Bobby Barratt on Aug 16, 2019 18:10:58 GMT -5
I dont see much issue with Caffrey. Being honest my money is still on Dylan. He sits on his arse all game and all of a sudden has 2 names?
Where was this prior? Nausica already pointed out that anyone who pissed off Dylan got offed if I remember rightly.
Now he's had his chance to speak I'll vote.
VOTE: DYLAN
|
|