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Post by Mongo the Destroyer on Nov 8, 2021 18:58:40 GMT -5
*Giddy-hop-hop-struts into the conversation*
Can I note we latched onto the assumptions that 1. H2F was town (nothing was revealed) and 2. That Kris got the red party bullet?
It could be that H2F got 3rd partied and Kris got the normal night kill, DT just introduced them in the order for dramatic flair
That makes me more suspicious of Hype because he latches onto spurious town theories when he’s scum
…And when he’s town.
…Dang it Hype, lol. I don’t have anything to add other than that correction to our line of inquiry
*Walks on the sides of my feet, with a couple heel-click-hops thrown in*
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Post by Mongo the Destroyer on Nov 8, 2021 19:00:39 GMT -5
*Got the 3rd party bullet. Friggin iPad keyboard
*Skip-skip moonwalks away*
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Post by ForeverKuroi on Nov 8, 2021 21:13:12 GMT -5
*Giddy-hop-hop-struts into the conversation* Can I note we latched onto the assumptions that 1. H2F was town (nothing was revealed) and 2. That Kris got the red party bullet? It could be that H2F got 3rd partied and Kris got the normal night kill, DT just introduced them in the order for dramatic flair That makes me more suspicious of Hype because he latches onto spurious town theories when he’s scum …And when he’s town. …Dang it Hype, lol. I don’t have anything to add other than that correction to our line of inquiry *Walks on the sides of my feet, with a couple heel-click-hops thrown in* Possible H2F was the third party but i dont think it's likely. You'd have to multiply the number of players by the number of players -1 to estimate and then it's 1 over that number. Ill do math in a moment. Im on mobile. Steve, our earlier games were like that. We should probably do more of a basic game soon.
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Post by ForeverKuroi on Nov 8, 2021 21:16:44 GMT -5
1/156? Something feels off with that number but it's only an estimation.
The likelihood that the third party is still alive is 13-2 (the amount of dead) and probably 3 over (guessing the amount of scum in the game) over 11 so 3/11, which is far more likely.
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Post by Mongo the Destroyer on Nov 8, 2021 21:16:48 GMT -5
*Giddy-hop-hop-struts into the conversation* Can I note we latched onto the assumptions that 1. H2F was town (nothing was revealed) and 2. That Kris got the red party bullet? It could be that H2F got 3rd partied and Kris got the normal night kill, DT just introduced them in the order for dramatic flair That makes me more suspicious of Hype because he latches onto spurious town theories when he’s scum …And when he’s town. …Dang it Hype, lol. I don’t have anything to add other than that correction to our line of inquiry *Walks on the sides of my feet, with a couple heel-click-hops thrown in* Possible H2F was the third party but i dont think it's likely. You'd have to multiply the number of players by the number of players -1 to estimate and then it's 1 over that number. Ill do math in a moment. Im on mobile. Steve, our earlier games were like that. We should probably do more of a basic game soon. I was saying 3rd party killed her, meaning she might be scum (hence the lack of a reveal) But you bring up an interesting point. If there is no 3rd party, who was the second killer? ….Unless H2F is the dead parrot and is always dead… Vote: H2F- let’s see if it gets counted :thinking:
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Post by Dave D-Flipz on Nov 8, 2021 21:39:56 GMT -5
H2f is dead. Vote not counted
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Post by ForeverKuroi on Nov 8, 2021 22:08:01 GMT -5
H2f is dead. Vote not counted Hah. Get fucked, Mongo.
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Post by Mongo the Destroyer on Nov 8, 2021 22:33:40 GMT -5
H2f is dead. Vote not counted Hah. Get fucked, Mongo. Vote: Kuroi- That’s for the math and because I’m petty. Don’t you fuzzy math me on odds, you’re due to be scum sooner or later *Skippy-bounce walks with an ankle slap half-twist*
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Post by Donzig on Nov 8, 2021 23:56:21 GMT -5
Maybe it is just my nature to blame Steve.
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Post by IMMORTALS on Nov 9, 2021 0:31:14 GMT -5
H2f is dead. Vote not counted Hah. Get fucked, Mongo. I second that. Bloody Mongo, trying to get heat on poor old Hypey. I'm willing to believe she was town, and we still have a full mafia crew out there, and likely a third party. So that's 4 killers. 4 stomachs. And who do we know is so fat they have 4 stomachs? Vote: Mongo the Sandwich Destroyer In all seriousness I think we know all we're going to know for today. Cop shot his shot, we lost two players and we need another night phase to see what comes next. I'd be down to move this game along. *...gets haunted my months of fairy quotations, threatening to come back*
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Post by Mav. on Nov 9, 2021 2:41:00 GMT -5
This is way too confusing lmfao. I have no idea what is going on.
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Post by Mongo the Destroyer on Nov 9, 2021 3:11:04 GMT -5
I second that. Bloody Mongo, trying to get heat on poor old Hypey. I'm willing to believe she was town, and we still have a full mafia crew out there, and likely a third party. So that's 4 killers. 4 stomachs. And who do we know is so fat they have 4 stomachs? Vote: Mongo the Sandwich Destroyer In all seriousness I think we know all we're going to know for today. Cop shot his shot, we lost two players and we need another night phase to see what comes next. I'd be down to move this game along. *...gets haunted my months of fairy quotations, threatening to come back* *High-kick marches with a cute little hop-hops over to Hype, leaning real close into his ear.* Hey, listen
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Post by Cross Recoba on Nov 9, 2021 7:38:06 GMT -5
We lost Bwian!
We need to make a move today and stwike them down!
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Post by ForeverKuroi on Nov 9, 2021 13:06:29 GMT -5
We lost Bwian! We need to make a move today and stwike them down! Vote: CrossI dont see a lot of game solving and scum hunting from you.
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Post by Cross Recoba on Nov 9, 2021 14:11:25 GMT -5
We lost Bwian! We need to make a move today and stwike them down! Vote: CrossI dont see a lot of game solving and scum hunting from you. So here's where I'm at with this. Kuroi - I'm the second person you've voted for in this day period after K. So, is it a requirement that you vote with each post? Nope, you've also attempted to apply probability which is pleasing but ultimately of no great use in this beyond working out how many of each we may have. The issue is that we've lost two extremely powerful roles on D1. We can crapshoot this and go with probability but that still leaves us with a chance to be 0-3 at best by the start of the next day phase. Am I wrong Dave D-Flipz or was Mosler meant to tell us his intentions (or at least allude to it in less obtuse terms than he did)? Equally, with a full day left on the clock - why is IMMORTALS adamant we know all we're going to know today? Equally, what could Mav or Donzig add to the conversation?
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